FOMC No-Cut Probability Looms Over Bitcoin Market
- Lyla Velez
- January 7, 2026
- Policy
- 0 Comments
- FOMC no-cut probability pressures Bitcoin prices.
- Bitcoin stuck in $91,855-$94K range.
- High probability of no rate cut affects markets.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and FOMC members face pressure as the January 28, 2026, meeting approaches, with a 90% probability of no rate cut affecting Bitcoin’s market value.
Markets brace for potential impacts as odds of maintaining rates could lead to Bitcoin price fluctuations, testing current resistance and support levels.
Impact of Federal Reserve Policies
Federal Reserve meetings set financial policies affecting markets worldwide. At this meeting, Chair Jerome Powell scrutinizes prior policy decisions amid internal dissent, responding to Bitcoin’s market reactions. Crypto influencers like Arthur Hayes predict market corrections.
Potential delays in interest rate cuts could lead to instability in speculative assets, especially Bitcoin, expected to sway toward the $86,582 or $90K marks. Past Federal Reserve sessions showed division on rate decisions, impacting market liquidity and investor confidence.
Arthur Hayes, Former CEO, BitMEX, said, “Bitcoin is forecasting a 20% or some sort of correction in the stock market. That was a move from 125 to 80. Bitcoin is the last free market smoke alarm of liquidity.”
Bitcoin might encounter challenges if interest rates remain uncut. Market participants expect shifts in liquidity, potentially impacting Bitcoin’s market position as seen historically. The broader cryptocurrency market closely monitors these decisions, trying to gauge future movements.
Historical patterns suggest significant market shifts during financial policies. As such, cryptocurrency sectors remain vigilant. Experts warn of tighter liquidity curbing speculative trades, prompting cautious investor outlooks, potentially triggering prolonged consolidation phases.
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